Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 7.773878 8.565683 9.411555 10.383810 11.472181 12.654909 14.040055
2025-10-26 6.310304 7.346827 8.525536 9.970445 11.701083 13.716162 16.252881
2025-11-02 5.266585 6.428326 7.822713 9.631318 11.932029 14.783442 18.619736
2025-11-09 4.485014 5.706490 7.244302 9.342559 12.161892 15.863034 21.162517
2025-11-16 3.902544 5.152819 6.795834 9.143191 12.460032 17.054089 24.031176
2025-11-23 3.462755 4.727686 6.455931 9.031574 12.845057 18.399875 27.323235
2025-11-30 3.180615 4.481005 6.324149 9.183865 13.612865 20.388839 31.894701
2025-12-07 2.876265 4.165495 6.052980 9.088393 13.983694 21.814869 35.809580
2025-12-14 2.587633 3.840510 5.728616 8.864681 14.111812 22.856761 39.244052
2025-12-21 2.379491 3.614986 5.529097 8.808806 14.495872 24.362359 43.742467
2025-12-28 2.254463 3.505454 5.497815 9.020112 15.353223 26.801640 50.412715
2026-01-04 2.139649 3.399926 5.459771 9.210772 16.192228 29.322030 57.717581
2026-01-11 2.001321 3.245674 5.329838 9.233394 16.743249 31.417212 64.659708
2026-01-18 1.858075 3.070149 5.146340 9.137387 17.055819 33.093632 71.062160
2026-01-25 1.724888 2.900248 4.956384 9.007026 17.282404 34.629358 77.485852
2026-02-01 1.602726 2.739301 4.767351 8.856468 17.446580 36.057218 83.975742
2026-02-08 1.498383 2.601660 4.608329 8.746622 17.680267 37.674598 91.317193
2026-02-15 1.411143 2.488154 4.484069 8.692506 18.025996 39.603233 99.940242
2026-02-22 1.359780 2.437293 4.474581 8.874134 18.921047 42.984586 113.421864
2026-03-01 1.284427 2.334576 4.354336 8.806229 19.232172 44.983153 123.444783
2026-03-08 1.201521 2.210940 4.181927 8.606069 19.203052 46.110458 131.136372
2026-03-15 1.141588 2.127971 4.084837 8.562525 19.547469 48.277016 142.698572
2026-03-22 1.110653 2.100496 4.099613 8.774348 20.558604 52.438941 162.082415